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Conn's (Conn's) Altman Z2-Score : 2.73 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Conn's Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Conn's has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.73, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Conn's's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CONN' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.73   Med: 4.43   Max: 5.05
Current: 2.73

During the past 13 years, Conn's's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.05. The lowest was 2.73. And the median was 4.43.


Conn's Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Conn's's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Conn's Altman Z2-Score Chart

Conn's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.41 3.88 4.42 3.67 2.73

Conn's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.67 3.44 3.10 2.84 2.73

Competitive Comparison of Conn's's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Conn's's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Conn's's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Conn's's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conn's's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Conn's Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Conn's's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3018+3.26*0.1896+6.72*-0.0142+1.05*0.2167
=2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,444 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,204 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $467 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $463 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 13.781 + -60.906 + -32.142 + -37.082 = $-116 Mil.
Interest Expense was -26.093 + -22.448 + -16.787 + -16.379 = $-82 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,009 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1204.096 - 466.523)/2444.042
=0.3018

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=463.316/2444.042
=0.1896

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-116.349 - -81.707)/2444.042
=-0.0142

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(435.252 - 0)/2008.79
=0.2167

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Conn's has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.73 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Conn's  (NAS:CONN) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Conn's Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Conn's's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Conn's (Conn's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2445 Technology Forest Boulevard, Suite 800, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77381
Conn's Inc is a United-States-based specialty retailer engaged in the sale of durable consumer goods and related services. The company operates through two segments. The retail segment sells a broad range of merchandise, including furniture and mattress products, home appliances, consumer electronics, and home office products. The credit segment provides credit solutions for credit-constrained consumers based on customer risk and income level. A material portion of the company's customers finances purchases through its credit segment. The company focuses its business on the U.S. and generates its revenue from the retail segment.
Executives
Stephens Group, Llc 10 percent owner 100 RIVER BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 500, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Ann B Gugino director 1031 MENDOTA HEIGHTS ROAD, ST. PAUL MN 55120
Timothy P Santo officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., STE. 800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Karen Hartje director 251 1ST AVENUE N, SUITE 200, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401-1672
Douglas H Martin director, 10 percent owner C/O STEPHENS INC, 111 CENTER ST, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Paula W. & John P. Calhoun Family Trust - Wmas 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, SUITE 2300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Warren Miles Amerine Stephens Family Trust One 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, SUITE 2300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Brian Daly officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 4055 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., STE. 210, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Warren A Stephens 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Harriet C Stephens 10 percent owner C/O STEPHENS INC, 111 CENTER ST, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Was Family Trust Five 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, SUITE 2300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Stephens Warren A Trust Uid 9/30/87 10 percent owner C/O STEPHENS INC, 111 CENTER ST, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
Thomas John Fenton officer: Chief Credit Officer 2445 TECHNOLOGY FOREST BLVD., SUITE 800, THE WOODLANDS TX 77381
Warren Miles Stephens 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, SUITE 2300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201
John Calhoun Stephens 10 percent owner 111 CENTER STREET, SUITE 2300, LITTLE ROCK AR 72201